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More support for Safety in Numbers

The phenomenon whereby cycling gets safer the more people who cycle has received further academic support from a Norwegian paper that also explores the relative volumes of pedestrians, cyclists and motor vehicles.

The relationships found in previous studies suggest that if very large transfers of trips from motor vehicles to walking or cycling take place, the total number of accidents may be reduced. This paper finds that for very large transfers of trips from motor vehicles to walking or cycling, a
reduction of the total number of accidents is indeed possible. This shows that the injury rate for pedestrians and cyclists in the current transport system does not necessarily imply that encouraging walking or cycling rather than driving will lead to more accidents.

[BHRF note: The corollary is that if fewer people cycle, perhaps because of helmet laws or promotion, risk increases for those who remain.]

Sun 28 Jun 2009

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